Exciting game picks and props, to ease the pain of every Jets and Giants game. All in one article, because who wants to read more than one article about these two teams?
Giants Picks and Props
Wayne Gallman to the rescue!
With Giants fans drooling over “Danny Dimes”, and the prospect of another dominating performance like his memorable starting debut against Tampa Bay – it was Saquon Barkley’s back-up who keyed a 24-3 victory over the Washington Redskins in Week 4. Gallman was persistent if unspectacular on the ground, scoring a TD while rushing for 63 yards – but only averaging 3.5 yards per carry. However, he balanced the Giants passing game with Sterling Shepard (7 receptions for 76 yards) by catching six passes for 55 yards and a TD. That stat grows in importance this week, with the Giants at home against a quality Minnesota Vikings defense. Gallman’s versatility out of the backfield will give Daniel Jones more offensive space, and aid returning WR Golden Tate’s transition into New York’s new-look Jones-led offense by easing defensive pressure.
This week the Vikings are favored by 5.5 points, but I think the Giants have good offensive momentum and will win the game. I also like the final score OVER 44.5 combined points. So, I’m hitting the Doubles Market at PointsBet and taking the Giants plus five and the over 44.5 for +265 ($10 bet wins $26.50). Now, let’s take a look at my three best player-related prop bets for Giants/Vikings in Week 5:
Top Prop #1 Dalvin Cook will have 100+ yards
$100 to win $108 (+108) @ PointsBet As long as the Minnesota Vikings keep trotting out Kirk Cousins at QB, Dalvin Cook will continue to be the offensive focus. The star RB has scored in all four Vikings games this year, and is one yard behind Christian McCaffrey for the NFL lead in rushing yards. The ground game was very good for Cook, up until last week. After three straight 110+ yard games, he was held to just 35 yards on the ground against Chicago in Week 4 (the same number of receiving yards he hauled in), but still scored a touchdown. The Giants run defense currently ranks 19th, allowing 109.8 yards per game – while the Vikings run offense ranks third with 155.3 yards per game. I expect Cook to get at least 15 carries at Met Life stadium on Sunday, and to bounce back from an off week with another 100+ yard rushing game and a TD.
Top Prop #2 Daniel Jones to get 250+ Passing Yards
$113 to win $100 (-113) @ PointsBet Danny Dimes came back down to earth a bit in Week 4’s win over Washington (225 passing yards, 1 TD & 2 INTs), after launching some high-flying pass/rush numbers in his Week 3 comeback win over Tampa Bay. While those stats may look very Manning-esque, Jones’ quick feet separate him from Eli’s statue-like pocket presence. Specifically, the rookie QB was sack-free against the ‘Skins, and ran for a season-high 33 yards on five attempts. That mobility will continue to keep pass-rushers on their toes, and buy the talented Giant receiving corps time to get open. With Golden Tate returning from suspension to join TE Evan Engram and WR Sterling Shepard as pass-catchers (and Wayne Gallman facing a good Vikings run defense), expect Jones surpass 250 passing yards in Week 5.
Top Prop #3 Home Team Touchdowns Over 2.5
$100 wins $150 (+150) @ Unibet Even though the Vikings sport the NFL’s 9th-ranked pass defense and 11th-ranked run defense, the Giants are playing at home with a 7th-ranked pass offense that has a triple-compliment of talented pass-catchers (and a serviceable running back) for Danny Dimes to dial up on Sunday. Make no mistake, this bet is +150, rather than a minus, because the Vikings D has been downright stingy with TDs in 2019. But even without Saquon Barkley’s services, the elements are in place this week in East Rutherford for the G-men to finish with three TDs. Grab this one at Unbiet now before the odds shift closer to all the other books, where this TD total is trending lower around +130.
Jets Picks and Props
Nothing like a bye week to stop the bleeding.
The Jets emerge from their week away from the field with encouraging news about Sam Darnold’s imminent return… but still poised to start Luke Falk against the Philadelphia Eagles. Though Darnold practiced this week, indicating his body stamina is good enough to play, a big issue remains whether his mono-stricken spleen is in a condition where it won’t rupture from a hit and, ya know, KILL HIM. Regardless of who starts, the Jets are crossing the Delaware to take on an Eagles squad coming off a great road win in Green Bay, and looking to unleash their two-pronged air/ground attack on 0-4 New York.
I think the Eagles take this one easily. I’ll be rolling with a 7 point teaser where Philly wins by 6.5 points, while taking the UNDER on the line of 50 total points. The Jets simply don’t have the horses to keep up their end to reach that number, but their defense is a bit too good to let Carson Wentz run up the score that far. With Gang Green not likely to do much worth propping about, here are two Eagles player props I like for Week 5:
Top Prop #4 Miles Sanders will get 75+ Rushing Yards
$100 wins $108 (+108) @ PointsBet Philadelphia unleashed a potent running back attack in their Week 4 win against Green Bay, with its top two RBs combining for 159 yards and two rushing TDs. Of those two, though, Jordan Howard was the big ground game beneficiary with 87 yards and two TDs (along with 28 receiving yards, and a TD catch), while rookie Miles Sanders came away with 72 yards rushing. However, Sanders has increased his rushing total in each of the season’s first four weeks, and is Philly’s fastest back (earning him the Eagles kick returner job, rather than automatic goal-line duties). In Week 5 against the winless Jets, expect the upward trend to continue with a 75+ yard rushing effort for Sanders.
Top Prop #5 Home Team Touchdowns over 3.5
$100 wins $140 (+140) @ UniBet The Jets pass defense ranks 28th in the NFL, while Philadelphia’s passing offense is an underperforming 20th. Week 4 in Green Bay, Carson Wentz utilized his running backs to winning effect, which kept his passing yards to a season-low 160, but still resulted in the QB finishing with three TD tosses. A better indicator of what to expect from Wentz was Week 3 at home against Detroit (whose 18th-ranked pass defense is two spots better than the Jets), where he passed for 259 yards and two TDs to WR Nelson Agholor. Playing at home again in Week 5, bank on Wentz bouncing back with another multi-TD effort, complimented by one or more scores from Philly RBs Howard and Sanders, taking the final Eagles total to at least four. Like the Giants TD total above, UniBet has the best payout on this prop. At other books it is trending lower around +125.
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