To close out the divisional round games this week, we have a showdown between incredible offenses. The Buffalo Bills, fresh off their dominant win over the Patriots, head out to face the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Bills showcased their high-powered offense last week against one of the best defenses in the NFL. They’ll look to prove once again that they’re the best in the NFL.
As most already know, the Kansas City Chiefs are no slouch on offense. They were able to knock out the Steelers in the Wild Card Round with a 42-21 victory. This game will be a tale of two offenses going back and forth. The question we have is whose defense will give out first?
The Bills and the Chiefs have quite the history, but only one can make it to the AFC Title game.
Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs defense can be a liability
If there was a defense to be most concerned about, it’s the Chiefs’ defense. On average, Kansas City gives up 248.56 yards through the air per game. They rank 26th in the NFL in this category but ninth in points allowed.
Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills are a pass-heavy team and will target the Chiefs secondary. Hopefully, Kansas City has a plan in place to stop him.
The Kansas City offense have the fifth-best scoring offense in the NFL. However, moving the ball against the Buffalo defense might not be as easy as one may think.
Kansas City gets most of their points through the air, throwing for 286.83 yards per game. The Buffalo secondary ranks No.1 in the NFL in passing yards allowed. The Chiefs might have to get creative in this one.
Buffalo Bills: Buffalo is excited for this one to get underway
After their dominant performance over the Patriots, the Bills are happy to meet their rivals. Although they’re in different divisions, the Bills and Chiefs have quite a history together. Through their last ten games, the Chiefs have gotten the better of the Bills.
This time, the Bills are looking to settle the score and kick the Chiefs out of the playoffs. The question is, how will they do it?
As we said above, the Bills have quite an impressive offense. They only allow 165.94 passing yards per game, a testament to a strong secondary.
Another reason why teams struggle to pass is due to the Bills pass rush. They’ll need to put immense pressure on Mahomes without allowing him to escape. The Buffalo Bills will have this one if the defense can hold up their end.
Although we consider the Bills to be the better team, they aren’t the one who is favored at the sportsbook. Currently, the Bills are +2 in this game against the Chiefs, leaving Kansas City at -2. This spread varies at locations where some are only giving the Bills +1.5.
The moneyline on this game has the Bills at +107 and the Chiefs at -127. The total is set at a high mark of 54.5.
Over their last ten games against each other, the ATS record is split at 5-5. During the regular season, the Bills went 9-6-2 ATS while the Chiefs went 8-9. We will point out that the Chiefs only lost two games at home all season.
Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Prediction
Most of the consensus is leaning towards the Chiefs in this game, but we disagree. The Chiefs’ defense has been a liability for some time, and we don’t think that will change on Sunday.
The Bills super-powered offense made easy work of one of the best defenses in the NFL. They also have a defense of their own that is very familiar with Patrick Mahomes.
Sure, the Bills are the underdog, but they put up 47-points in adverse weather conditions. The field and temperature will be much better in Kansas City on Sunday. With their eyes set on an AFC Championship game, we’ll take the Bills +2 to win this one.
Buffalo Bills +2 over the Kansas City Chiefs