XFL Week 5 Picks For All 4 Games

We are Half Way thru the XFL 2020 Season. Let’s Get a Handle on the Bets.

The XFL is losing viewership. Just keep in mind that the NBA is heating up. They also competed with the NFL combine last week, and now MLB spring training is here. I never expected the XFL to be a ratings juggernaut, but as a low-key maintenance dose of football, it’s doing a fine job.

XFL Notes From Last Week

• The Los Angeles Wildcats are truly terrible on defense and overall are just bad.
• If someone could find the DC Defenders mojo that they had for the first two games, they’d surely appreciate it. They’ve been outscored 64-9 in their last two games against the Wildcats and Tampa Bay Vipers. These are considered to be two of the league’s worst teams.
• The St. Louis BattleHawks look like a contender and I wish I had jumped on them at +1100 to win the title when the season started. There is an extreme amount of value in a team like the Battlehawks that minimizes mistakes and grinds the clock.
• This leaves us with the Houston Roughnecks. Sure, they beat Dallas, but if the Renegades had a competent quarterback they might be 4-0. 

XFL Week 5 Picks. Best Bets for All Four Games.

Here I go again on my own for XFL Week 5. I’m 500 on picks this season and have not been able to get any consistent plays going except on the totals. With one more week of XFL intel, let’s assess all four games and make picks.

Seattle Dragons at Houston Roughnecks

Spread: Dragons +13.5 at BetMGM Sportsbook

Over/Under: 45.5

Saturday, 2PM ET on ABC

Look, most Seattle teams are not as good on the road as they are at home, but this spread is ridiculous. Even though Houston is 4-0 and Phillip Walker is looking like he’ll probably get another look in the NFL, any team laying almost two touchdowns is just silly. There’s no value here and I am still kicking myself for thinking St. Louis could pull off a two-score win. I like Houston’s swarming defense, but they are feast or famine with big plays going both ways because they’re inconsistent and undisciplined. Do not, I repeat, do not lay two touchdowns in a league like this. This shouldn’t even be a discussion. THE PICK: Seattle +13.5 THE OTHER PICK: OVER 45.5

NY Guardians at Dallas Renegades

Spread: Guardians +7.5 at Caesars Sportsbook

Over/Under: 36.5

Saturday, 5 PM ET on FOX

Dallas lost Landry Jones to a pretty bad looking knee injury. He hasn’t been ruled out, but I suspect he will be, so that means Phillip Nelson who managed to generate only nine points in a week one loss. New York is putrid and coming off their first win, so expect a bit of a letdown. I’d generally advice against playing this one, but if you feel an itch you can’t scratch, grab the points and take that under. Neither one of these teams is going to be airing it much and this one might be dominated by running backs.

The total gives me the creeps because it’s so low that it will be super tempting to the squares who will be thinking it’s a super easy one to cover. DON’T BELIEVE THE BOOKIE’S LIES. These teams are terrible on offense and, again, starting backup quarterbacks. If you insist on the total, go under. Personally, I am hoping some action comes in on the over and drives it up another point. THE PICK: New York +7.5. THE OTHER PICK: UNDER 36.5

St. Louis BattleHawks at DC Defenders

Spread: BattleHawks -4.5 at UniBet Sportsbook PA

Over/Under: 39

Sunday, 3 PM ET on FS1

St. Louis plays a grounded and patient brand of offense, but what’s most impressive is that their defense has allowed only seven touchdowns in four games. DC is coming home, so maybe Cardale Jones gets back on track and stops giving the ball away. I got burned thinking DC would bounce back, but this is a tough spot for them even in a league where we’re still figuring out who has real quality.

Short road favorites are generally not a good look, so I will probably be laying off this one on my personal game day plays, but gun to my head I’d look at DC in a bounce back spot at home against a team that “everyone knows is going to win.”

As for the total, meh. I can see it going either way depending on how well St. Louis’ defense plays. That’s key and since DC could get their act t together and break some recent trends, I’d either grab the over or lay off.  THE PICK: DC +4.5. THE OTHER PICK: OVER 39

Tampa Bay Vipers at Los Angeles Wildcats

Spread: Vipers +2 at BetRivers Sportsbook Indiana

Over/Under: 40

Sunday, 9 PM ET on ESPN

This league is so dicey that some folks now think Tampa is good because they crushed DC 25-0 last week. Taylor Cornelius has been replaced by Aaron Murray and things are looking up on offense especially since they have two of the best running backs in the league. De’Veun Smith and Jacques Patrick are first and third in rushing and the Wildcats give up 131.5 YPG on the ground. We all know Los Angeles has a porous defense, so you can imagine where I am going with this one. THE PICK: Tampa Bay +2.

XFL Weekly Record
Week 4 Spread: 1 – 2 Week 3 Over Under: 0 – 1
XFL Week 3 Spread: 0 – 1 Week 3 Over Under: 4 – 0 Week 3 Teaser: 1-0
XFL Week 2 Spread: 1 – 3 Week 2: Over Under: 0 – 2
XFL Week 1: No Picks

Stay tuned to The Props Network for sports betting news and picks. XFL week 4 betting odds can be found at all of the top US online sportsbooks. Find a new sportsbook or the best sports betting site for you here at TPN.

XFL F.A.Q.

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