Picks and props for your New York flops…
Meadowlands Moneymakers is a weekly series where I tell you my favorite bets on the upcoming N.Y. Giants and N.Y. Jets games.
In this edition, we’re bringing you game picks and top player props for Week 10’s Meadowlands Sunday showdown. That right folks, it’s Giants at Jets in East Rutherford.
In honor of this momentous occasion, we chose a picture from the last time there was this much excitement at Metlife Stadium… a 2015 One Direction concert.
Giants @ Jets
Sunday, 1:00 PM
Well, we’re halfway home in the 2019 season, and the green and blue down-and-out denizens of Met Life Stadium are rewarding their very disappointed fans with a slap-fight face-off for local bragging rights — and ONLY local, because both the 1-7 Jets and 2-7 Giants are seen as national jokes at the moment, with a whole back half of their schedules left to play.
All that said, each team’s serious defensive deficiencies means there are some pretty tempting player props to place your bets on this Sunday at 1 PM. What will the final result be in this battle of the bads? Let’s take a look at where they the stand heading into East Rutherford.
Bad. Just… bad.
New York Jets continued their season of embarrassment in Week 9 by losing to the Miami Dolphins in sunny Florida, 26-18. I’d celebrate Gang Green being the worst team in the NFL, and well on their way to tanking towards the next NFL draft’s #1 pick, but the 0-8 Cincinnati Bengals still exist. So, there goes that happy thought. In its weekly power rankings, ESPN highlighted that the Jets are scoring .81 points per drive this season, which would be the lowest since the 2011 St. Louis Rams finished with 0.89.
In the game against the Dolphins, Jets QB Sam Darnold threw for 260 yards, one TD, and one INT – his lowest number of air turnovers in three games, after tossing up four and three, respectively, in between. He also didn’t fumble the ball, or spike himself, or run into his lineman’s butt, which was nice. But he watched a shotgun-snapped ball wiz past him, and bounce out of the end zone for a fourth quarter safety, which was bad. Just… bad.
On his throws, Darnold stuck to a safe recipe of short completions to Jamison Crowder (8 catches on 9 targets for 83 yards and a TD) and Le’Veon Bell (8 catches on 9 targets for 55 yards). Bell also tacked on 66 rushing yards on 17 attempts. But New York’s conservative approach didn’t add up to points, and Miami took advantage. Former-Jet QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 288 yards and three TDs, with rookie WR Preston Williams catching two of them – highlighting Miami’s fourth straight win over New York.
How ’bout them Cowboys!
Meanwhile, the Giants suffered another loss to the hated Dallas Cowboys, falling 37-18 at home on Monday night. Entering the fourth quarter, Big Blue actually led 16-15, but Dak Prescott tossed two touchdown passes, and Jourdan Lewis returned a fumble 63 yards for a score with six seconds left to add insult to injury. Blame it on that black cat that ran on the field if you must, but the Giants D looked as bad in this one as it did in their 35-17 trouncing in the season opener. This time around, they gave up three TDs to Prescott, while gifting Ezekiel Elliot his season-high 139 rushing yards.
The Jets are the second-worst team in the NFL. Sam Darnold has a long way to go before he’s an impact player, and Gang Green’s one sure-fire playmaker, Le’Veon Bell is running behind a bad O-line and being smothered by opposing defenses.
With Daniel Jones playing mediocre-but-competent QB for the Giants, and despite a nicked-up Evan Engram and still-concussed Sterling Shepard, Saquon Barkley stands to have a big game.
Big Blue is favored by 2.5 points at most books as of writing this article, and I think that is a real value. The Jets can’t score on anyone, and they will have a hard time getting in the way of Barkley.
I’ll take Giants as 2.5 point favorites, and I will also parlay this line with UNDER 43.5 total points in the game.
Where to bet this:
Pointsbet is the best place for spread bets on the Giants and Jets this week. Amazingly, they continue to offer the ‘make it rain’ promo on all Jets, Giants and Eagles games. Just place a $50+ pregame bet ATS on this game, and PB will pay you $6 for every Touchdown your team scores in the game, win or lose.
Giants vs. Jets – Top Prop Bets
Now, lets look examine this steaming pile of a game, and extract some standout player props within Week 10’s Meadowlands showdown:
Top Prop #1 – Giants will score 25+ points
$100 to win $144 (+144) @ PointsBet
Overall, Daniel Jones has had a middling rookie season as Big Blue’s new QB – with a few standout spikes in production against Tampa Bay and Detroit. Against the latter, the Giants put up 26 points off of four Jones TDs in a losing effort only two games ago, and put up 18 last week against Dallas. Against a terrible team like the Jets, expect Jones to lead the Giants offense to putting up at least 25 on the board.
Top Prop #2 – Daniel Jones will get 300+ passing yards
$100 to win $125 (+125) @ PointsBet
The Jets and Giants are neck and neck this season is bad pass defense – ranking 24 and 25th, respectively, and giving up 263 and 263.6 yards per game through the air. But the Jets have been pretty good at keeping opposing QBs under the 300-yard mark — giving up 288, 279, 249, 278, and 189 over the last five, before getting to Tom Brady’s 306 passing yards in game three, and Baker Mayfield’s 325 in game two.
Meanwhile, Daniel Jones has surpassed 300 passing yards in just two games this season. However, if not for some rookie fumble/interception mistakes in a couple of games, that number of 300+ efforts could of been higher. Add into that a newfound mobility, with a season-high 65 rushing yards against the Cowboys last week, and Jones has a good shot at a third 300+ yard outing in Week 10.
Top Prop #3 – Golden Tate will get 75+ receiving yards.
$100 to win $100 (+100) @ PointsBet
Believe it or not, the Jets actually have the league’s sixth-best rushing defense. That means dual-threat running back Saquon Barkley will likely exploit the receiving side of his talents on Sunday, with Daniel Jones more than willing to toss the rock his way. However, with all of the resulting defensive attention, and both Shepard and Engram limited or out, expect Golden Tate to benefit with a solid 75+ yard afternoon.
Top Prop #4 – Jamison Crowder will get 75+ receiving yards.
$113 to win $100 (-113) @ PointsBet
Le’Veon Bell’s knee is sore this week, limiting him in practice. Yet, even if he were fully healthy, the Jets will likely being playing from behind on Sunday, and that means QB Sam Darnold will be throwing a lot of balls to his favorite target. Since that favorite target is Jamison Crowder, the veteran wide receiver is in line for 8-10 targets, and a good shot at 75+ yards.
Top Prop #5 – The Jets will score less than 2.5 TDs
$162 to win $100 (-162) @ PointsBet
Sam Darnold is not a hot commodity among bettors at the moment, and putting money on him doing anything good in Week 10 isn’t worth the gamble. But when it comes to betting on him being bad, well, that’s a slightly different story. I don’t think Darnold will lead Gang Green to score more than two TDs, even if they are the “home” team.
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem.