Bills vs. Giants – Sunday @ 1PM
The Giants season is off to an 0-1 start, surprising no one. Let’s look at how the G-Men might fair this week against Buffalo, and all the betting angles on this game.
The Giants Do Have Stars on Offense
The overall talent gap between New York and Dallas was on painful display during Big Blue’s 17-35 loss in Week 1.
Indeed, the Cowboys showed sports books they have the roster depth and talent to not only win the NFC East, but challenge for a Super Bowl berth.
The Giants lack such depth, and their current starters in the defensive secondary just gave up 405 passing yards and four touchdowns to Dak Prescott – giving him a perfect QB rating of 158.3.
On the other side of the ball, New York’s few big offensive talents fared a bit better with 470 total yards, thanks to an improved offensive line that gave up a single sack. However, it appears star players Saquan Barkley and Evan Engram will need consistently big games for the Giants to even contend with fellow East rivals, Philadelphia and Washington.
Against Dallas, Barkley racked up 120 yards on just 11 carries (though, importantly, no touchdowns), while TE Evan Engram caught 11 passes for 120 yards and a touchdown. Both will be the primary pass catchers (followed by WR Cody Latimer, who only snagged 3-of-8 targets for 74 yards against Dallas) open to current starting QB Eli Manning in Week 2 against the Buffalo Bills – with Golden Tate suspended, and #1 WR Sterling Shepard in concussion protocol.
Buffalo is Looking to Double Down at the Meadowlands
The Bills will be playing away in North Jersey for the second straight week, after their 17-16 comeback win against the Jets in Week 1. Buffalo turned the ball over four times in the first half, and QB Josh Allen had a very up-and-down game (finishing with 254 passing yards, two interceptions and three near-picks – but also throwing for a TD, and running for a score).
Yet, it’s clear that Buffalo’s offense will flow (for better or worse) through the second year QB’s big arm and fast feet. Logical, since last season saw Allen become the first player in Bills history to lead the team in both passing (2074 yards, 10 TDs) and rushing (631 yards yards, 8 TDs) – achieving that feat in only 12 games.
To that end, the Bills began Week 1 with 18 straight passes, while Allen completed their 4th Quarter comeback by rushing three yards for a touchdown, and throwing a 38-yarder to John Brown for the winner. They also had help on the ground from rookie RB Devin Singletary, (taking over for cut RB LeSean McCoy) who ran for 70 yards on four carries, while also hauling in 5-of-6 passes for 28 yards.
Recent seasons show how badly the Giants need to win this game, for the sake of their final record. Since 2013, New York has started 0-2 five times, always resulting in a sub-.500 finish. However, with a demoralized New York secondary and depleted receiver core, Josh Allen’s air/ground momentum, and Buffalo’s stout defense, expect another sad Sunday in East Rutherford for the Giants home opener.
Since this is shaping up to be a close game, Pointsbet has the Bills as a 2 point favorite in this game.
Despite the Giants potential to put up yardage with Barkley and Engram, I think Buffalo’s D will make it hard for Eli to find the end zone. This should result in an UNDER for the book’s game total line of 44 total points.
The Pick: Unfortunately I have to pick against the G-Men this week, but if we’re going down let’s go down with a +255 payout. I’m taking a bet that combines the AWAY TEAM to win and the TOTAL to go UNDER 44 points for the game. $100 to win $265 (+265) @ Sugarhouse
TOP PROPS FOR BILLS vs. GIANTS
Top Prop #1: Saquon Barkley Scores First Touchdown of the Game
Week 1 was a prolific rushing day for New York’s franchise cornerstone RB, with 120 yards on 11 carries against Dallas. But Barkley was kept out of the end zone in a game the Giants lost big. That’s a bad look for a franchise that took its share of fan/media criticism last year for drafting the star Penn State runner 2nd overall, instead of, say, Wyoming QB Josh Allen – who will be running the Buffalo offense on Sunday.
Since #1 WR Sterling Shepard is out with a concussion against Buffalo, expect the Bills defense to focus on smothering coverage of TE Evan Engram (who started Week 1’s scoring with a 1-yard TD catch) in early Red Zone situations, leaving the dangerous Giants RB free to put Big Blue on the board in front of the home opener crowd.
Players can find this bet under “Touchdown Scorer” on Sugar House’s available lines for Sunday’s game.
Top Prop #2: Evan Engram to Get 9+ Receptions
Engram was clearly QB Eli Manning’s favorite receiver Week 1, with the talented TE catching 11 of 14 balls thrown his way. With #1 WR Sterling Shepard sidelined, expect Engram to once again act as Manning’s safety valve, with at least another dozen targets.
Players can find this bet under “Receptions Bands” of the “Receiver Markets” on Points Bet’s available lines for Sunday’s game.
Top Prop #3: Evan Engram to get 125+ receiving yards
Engram may have scored from very short distance in Week 1, but his overall average per catch on the day was 10.5 yards – with the longest of his 11 receptions being 22 yards. When Engram gets the ball in his hands with space, he can quickly eat up yards. And with Giants QB Eli Manning likely to target his reliable TE all day, it’s a good bet that Engram can improve on his 116 receiving yards from Week 1.
Players can find this bet under “Receiver To Get” of the “Receivers Markets” in Points Bet’s available lines for Sunday’s game.
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